01 · The problem
What is happening
South Florida sits at low elevation on highly porous limestone, so seawater moves through the bedrock as well as over the surface. Tide gauge and satellite records document sea level rise along the southeastern United States coast. The practical consequences include high-tide flooding of streets and stormwater systems that cannot drain by gravity, saltwater intrusion into the Biscayne aquifer that supplies drinking water, and greater storm surge reach during hurricanes.
Critical severity. Severe, persistent harm to health, ecosystems or livelihoods. Severity is descriptive editorial metadata summarising documented effects. It is not a measured index or a score.
02 · Causes
Why it is happening
- 01
Global sea level rise
Thermal expansion of seawater and melting land ice raise mean sea level, documented by tide gauges and satellite altimetry.
- 02
Porous limestone bedrock
Water moves through the underlying limestone, so seawalls alone cannot prevent water emerging inland.
- 03
Very low ground elevation
Much of the metropolitan area sits only a few metres above mean sea level.
- 04
Gravity-based stormwater drainage
Drainage designed to discharge by gravity loses capacity as sea level rises.
03 · Impacts
Who and what it affects
- 01
Recurrent high-tide flooding
Streets and low-lying property flood during seasonal high tides without any storm present.
- 02
Saltwater intrusion into drinking water
Salt moving inland through the Biscayne aquifer threatens wellfields that supply the region.
- 03
Stormwater and septic system failure
Higher groundwater reduces drainage capacity and can prevent septic systems from functioning.
- 04
Property and insurance pressure
Repeated flooding affects insurance availability, cost and long-term property value.
04 · Solutions
Documented approaches
Stormwater pumps and one-way valves
Installing pumping and backflow prevention where gravity drainage no longer works.
Expected effectReduces recurrent tidal street flooding in treated areas.
Road and seawall elevation standards
Raising roads and requiring minimum seawall heights and freeboard for new construction.
Expected effectProtects specific assets; requires coordination so water is not simply displaced.
Aquifer and wellfield protection
Managing groundwater levels and relocating or protecting wellfields threatened by salt intrusion.
Expected effectSafeguards drinking water supply for the region.
Regional planning with shared projections
Using common sea level rise projections across counties for infrastructure planning.
Expected effectAvoids inconsistent standards and poorly matched investment.
05 · Key indicators
What can be measured
- Global mean sea level trend
- Rising
NOAA and IPCC document ongoing global mean sea level rise. Consult the NOAA Virginia Key tide gauge record for the local trend.
- Local aquifer
- Biscayne aquifer
The shallow, highly permeable Biscayne aquifer is the region's primary drinking water source and is vulnerable to saltwater intrusion.
06 · Sources
Where this comes from
- [1]Sea Level Rise Technical Report (NOAA sea level rise portal)NOAA / US Interagency Sea Level Rise Task Force · Feb 2022oceanservice.noaa.gov(opens in a new tab)
- [2]Unified Sea Level Rise ProjectionSoutheast Florida Regional Climate Change Compact · Jan 2019southeastfloridaclimatecompact.org(opens in a new tab)
- [3]Saltwater intrusion in the Biscayne aquiferUnited States Geological Surveyusgs.gov(opens in a new tab)
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