Skip to content
OceansSeverity: Critical

Sea level rise and tidal flooding in Miami

Rising seas cause recurrent sunny-day flooding and threaten freshwater supplies.

Miami · United States

01 · The problem

What is happening

South Florida sits at low elevation on highly porous limestone, so seawater moves through the bedrock as well as over the surface. Tide gauge and satellite records document sea level rise along the southeastern United States coast. The practical consequences include high-tide flooding of streets and stormwater systems that cannot drain by gravity, saltwater intrusion into the Biscayne aquifer that supplies drinking water, and greater storm surge reach during hurricanes.

Critical severity. Severe, persistent harm to health, ecosystems or livelihoods. Severity is descriptive editorial metadata summarising documented effects. It is not a measured index or a score.

02 · Causes

Why it is happening

  1. 01

    Global sea level rise

    Thermal expansion of seawater and melting land ice raise mean sea level, documented by tide gauges and satellite altimetry.

  2. 02

    Porous limestone bedrock

    Water moves through the underlying limestone, so seawalls alone cannot prevent water emerging inland.

  3. 03

    Very low ground elevation

    Much of the metropolitan area sits only a few metres above mean sea level.

  4. 04

    Gravity-based stormwater drainage

    Drainage designed to discharge by gravity loses capacity as sea level rises.

03 · Impacts

Who and what it affects

  1. 01

    Recurrent high-tide flooding

    Streets and low-lying property flood during seasonal high tides without any storm present.

  2. 02

    Saltwater intrusion into drinking water

    Salt moving inland through the Biscayne aquifer threatens wellfields that supply the region.

  3. 03

    Stormwater and septic system failure

    Higher groundwater reduces drainage capacity and can prevent septic systems from functioning.

  4. 04

    Property and insurance pressure

    Repeated flooding affects insurance availability, cost and long-term property value.

04 · Solutions

Documented approaches

  1. Stormwater pumps and one-way valves

    Installing pumping and backflow prevention where gravity drainage no longer works.

    Expected effectReduces recurrent tidal street flooding in treated areas.

  2. Road and seawall elevation standards

    Raising roads and requiring minimum seawall heights and freeboard for new construction.

    Expected effectProtects specific assets; requires coordination so water is not simply displaced.

  3. Aquifer and wellfield protection

    Managing groundwater levels and relocating or protecting wellfields threatened by salt intrusion.

    Expected effectSafeguards drinking water supply for the region.

  4. Regional planning with shared projections

    Using common sea level rise projections across counties for infrastructure planning.

    Expected effectAvoids inconsistent standards and poorly matched investment.

Explore an illustrative What-If

05 · Key indicators

What can be measured

Global mean sea level trend
Rising

NOAA and IPCC document ongoing global mean sea level rise. Consult the NOAA Virginia Key tide gauge record for the local trend.

Local aquifer
Biscayne aquifer

The shallow, highly permeable Biscayne aquifer is the region's primary drinking water source and is vulnerable to saltwater intrusion.

06 · Sources

Where this comes from