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WaterSeverity: High

Drought and municipal water security in Cape Town

The 2015-2018 drought brought the city close to shutting off its municipal supply.

Cape Town · South Africa

01 · The problem

What is happening

Cape Town depends on surface reservoirs filled by winter rainfall. Three consecutive poor rainfall years drew dam storage down to critical levels, and the city publicised a "Day Zero" at which municipal taps would largely be turned off. Severe restrictions, pressure management, leak repair and an extraordinary demand reduction by residents, together with returning rainfall, avoided that outcome. The episode is widely studied as a case of urban water crisis management, and the city has since diversified supply planning.

High severity. Serious, widespread effects requiring sustained action. Severity is descriptive editorial metadata summarising documented effects. It is not a measured index or a score.

02 · Causes

Why it is happening

  1. 01

    Consecutive low-rainfall years

    Three successive poor winter rainfall seasons reduced inflow to the supply dams.

  2. 02

    Surface-water dependence

    A supply system built almost entirely on rainfall-fed reservoirs is highly sensitive to rainfall variability.

  3. 03

    Demand growth and distribution losses

    Population growth and losses from ageing pipe networks raised baseline demand before the drought.

03 · Impacts

Who and what it affects

  1. 01

    Near shutdown of municipal supply

    The city planned for a day when most taps would be closed and residents would collect water from distribution points.

  2. 02

    Economic disruption

    Agriculture in the surrounding region faced restrictions and job losses, and tourism messaging was affected.

  3. 03

    Lasting behavioural change

    Household water use fell dramatically during the crisis and remained below pre-drought levels afterwards.

04 · Solutions

Documented approaches

  1. Demand management and pressure control

    Tariffs, restrictions, leak repair and network pressure management to cut consumption and losses.

    Expected effectAchieved a very large, sustained reduction in city water use during the crisis.

  2. Supply diversification

    Groundwater schemes, water reuse and desalination to reduce reliance on rainfall alone.

    Expected effectLowers the risk that a single dry sequence threatens supply.

  3. Catchment clearing of invasive species

    Removing thirsty invasive alien plants from supply catchments to increase runoff into dams.

    Expected effectRecovers water at relatively low cost per unit compared with new infrastructure.

Explore an illustrative What-If

05 · Key indicators

What can be measured

Day Zero
Announced, not reached2018

The city publicly scheduled a date at which municipal supply would largely be shut off. Demand reduction and returning rainfall meant it was never reached.

Drought period
2015-2018

Three consecutive below-average winter rainfall seasons drove reservoir storage to critical levels.

06 · Sources

Where this comes from